Analyzing the Potential of Israeli-Omani Normalization

Analyzing the Potential of Israeli-Omani Normalization

On September 15, 2020, the United States, under President Donald Trump, mediated an agreement known as the Abraham Accords, which formally normalized diplomatic relations between the State of Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and the Kingdom of Bahrain. What was initially a trilateral agreement between Israel and two of the Persian Gulf’s wealthiest states expanded in the subsequent months to also include Morocco and Sudan. As such, the Abraham Accords marked one of the most significant developments in the Arab-Israeli peace process in decades. Today, three years since the Accords’ ratification, rumors have been circulating of other Arab states in the region either formally signing the agreement or otherwise normalizing their relations with Israel. Recent developments in the Sultanate of Oman lead some experts to believe that the Sultanate may be the next Middle Eastern state to normalize and establish diplomatic relations with Israel. This article will outline and analyze the recent diplomatic developments between Israel and Oman and what diplomatic normalization could mean for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Iran’s evolving role as a regional power, and Omani domestic society.

Read More

Exploring the Possibilities of Bitcoin in the Wake of Lebanon’s Financial Crisis

Exploring the Possibilities of Bitcoin in the Wake of Lebanon’s Financial Crisis

The use of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin spread throughout Lebanon like wildfire in the wake of the country’s financial collapse in 2019. Yet, many people, both Lebanese and in general, still do not know how digital currency works or whether or not they should use it. Martin Hockey, a graduate of the UCLA International Institute, will unpack Bitcoin’s potential in Lebanon and explain how the digital currency can be used.

Read More

The Regional Effects of Four Rounds of Saudi Arabia-Iran Negotiations (Pt. 2)

The Regional Effects of Four Rounds of Saudi Arabia-Iran Negotiations (Pt. 2)

Iran and Saudi Arabia made steady progress in their negotiations through four rounds of talks that took place throughout 2021 in Baghdad, Iraq, with foreign ministers from each party indicating that the conversations were constructive and could lead to a rapprochement.[1] As their dialogue continues and hopefully leads to mutually acceptable agreements, we consider the regional implications of improved relations between Tehran and Riyadh.

Read More

Saudi-Iran Negotiations Have Made Steady Progress; Why is this Happening Now? (Pt. 1)

Saudi-Iran Negotiations Have Made Steady Progress; Why is this Happening Now? (Pt. 1)

Many leading political theorists and experts in the MENA region have referred to the relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia over the past few decades as a new Cold War in the Middle East.[1] Much like the United States and the Soviet Union during the second half of the twentieth century, Iran and Saudi Arabia have not directly engaged with one another in war but instead competed for spheres of influence and regional dominance using statecraft and proxy warfare in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. Tensions between the two great powers went through cycles of highs and lows over the past few decades, but turned sour in 2016 when Saudi Arabia cut diplomatic relations with Iran. This move came after Iranian protesters attacked Saudi diplomatic missions in Iran in response to the Saudi kingdom’s execution of revered Shia cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr.[2] Recent developments, however, caused the two powers to engage in dialogue with one another again, culminating in four rounds of productive negotiations on a range of issues thus far between each nation’s foreign minister.

Read More

Secretary Pompeo’s Record on Israeli Annexation Prospects Could Encourage A New Lebanon

Secretary Pompeo’s Record on Israeli Annexation Prospects Could Encourage A New Lebanon

While ultimately annexation plans "would have to be greenlighted by the United States," the eager attitude of Secretary Pompeo—without openly-expressed, public limitations—may not have been beneficial to American or Israeli interests.

Read More

What the Lebanese Protests Tells Us About the Future of Sectarian Governance

What the Lebanese Protests Tells Us About the Future of Sectarian Governance

In a state politically fragmented by sectarian lines, these protests portray the reality of a society that has united to demand the transformation of a corrupt, sectarian government to one that will serve all. The ability of the Lebanese citizenry to put aside religious allegiance and commonly demand the resignation of Prime Minister Saad Hariri and the creation of a new political system portray the reality of a society that has transcended sectarianism.

Read More

Lebanon: Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Lebanon: Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Over the past two decades, the Lebanese government slowly became trapped into creditor dependency. Like so many developing countries before, the government now faces a dilemma between preserving its financial credibility or the livelihood of its citizens. Its policies have been oriented to the former, much to the detriment of the real economy. With no other ways to receive government funding, Lebanon will likely have to embrace international loans with strict conditions imposed. 

Read More

USA-Iranian Tensions: A Case of Coercive Diplomacy?

USA-Iranian Tensions: A Case of Coercive Diplomacy?

In Realist theory power, whether economic or military, is the “currency” of nation-states. Yet, when viewing developments in the MENA, this distinction fails to take into account the great influence of sub-national and non-state actors. Such groups in many cases challenge and in a few cases exceed the “power” of the nation-state in which they share territory. Among others, one such example is that of the Iranian backed political party Hezbollah, which operates within Lebanon.

Read More

Trump’s Art of The Deal Diplomacy

Trump’s Art of The Deal Diplomacy

The Trump Administration’s Middle East “Peace Plan,” has been in its “pre-launch” phase for nearly two years. The plan itself serves as a representation of Trump’s global foreign policy. This diplomatic strategy should come as no surprise to us as, after all, it is the first sentence of chapter two in the Art of the Deal. But does this method translate well for international relations?

Read More